On Thursday 27 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +12 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +12 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Connecticut Sun need to beat the Golden State Valkyries by more than 12 points tonight. Despite winning only 2 of their last 10 games, the Sun have a solid chance since the Valkyries have a weaker defense, allowing a lot of three-pointers. Plus, the Sun give up fewer rebounds than most teams, which helps them control the game. However, the Sun have been struggling lately, so that might affect their confidence. If they play strong and take advantage of the Valkyries' defense, they could cover the spread. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 150.5 Total Points (-115)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

The Golden State Valkyries are in decent shape, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They have been scoring well lately, and their offense can keep up with the pace of the game. Meanwhile, the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10. Even so, they have a history of allowing teams to shoot a lot of three-pointers, which can lead to high-scoring games. With both teams' recent scoring form, I like the bet on total points going over 150.5. Our numbers suggest a combined score of about 158.2, so there's a good chance it could happen. The risk here is that both teams are close in rebounding stats, which could slow down the game if they struggle to secure boards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gabby Williams Over 14.5 Points and Assists (+109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Gabby Williams has been showing some good all-around play lately, and her scoring and passing could really shine against the Golden State Valkyries. The Valkyries let opponents take a lot of three-point shots, which might help Gabby find her rhythm. Plus, she's been playing around 22 minutes a game lately, giving her plenty of chances to rack up points and assists. The biggest worry is that the game could be close, which might limit scoring opportunities. Still, betting on Gabby to go over 14.5 points and assists feels like a solid choice. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cecilia Zandalasini Over 13.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-106)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Cecilia Zandalasini has been a bit up and down lately, with her scoring and playmaking not always showing up. Still, she has the potential to reach over 13.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists, especially against a Connecticut Sun team that has struggled recently, winning just 2 of their last 10 games. The Sun also let opponents grab more rebounds than most teams, which could help Zandalasini rack up those numbers. The Valkyries have been doing better, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but they still allow a fair number of three-point attempts. Zandalasini's ability to contribute in multiple ways means she could easily hit that 13.5 mark on a good night. The biggest risk here is her inconsistency, as she has had some games with very low stats. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Veronica Burton Under 22.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-106)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Veronica Burton has been having some up-and-down games lately. In her last ten games, she has scored anywhere from 2 to 8 points and pulled down a varying number of rebounds. This inconsistency could play a big role in this matchup against the Connecticut Sun, who have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. The Sun also give up a decent number of rebounds, but they are pretty good at limiting scoring chances, especially from beyond the arc. With all this in mind, betting on Burton to record under 22.5 points, rebounds, and assists feels like a solid choice. Just remember, she could have an off night, so it's not a guaranteed win. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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