On Friday 28 August 2026, New York Liberty play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
New York Liberty have been strong, but the Golden State Valkyries have won 7 of their last 10 games, showing solid form. The Valkyries allow opponents to take a lot of three-point shots, which could help them if they hit a few. They also give up a decent number of rebounds, but so does New York. The odds are decent for the Valkyries to keep this game close, and the numbers suggest they have a good chance to cover the spread. The main risk is that New York has the home advantage and could pull ahead. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 160.5 Total Points (-119)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
At Barclays Center, the New York Liberty face off against the Golden State Valkyries, who have had a solid run, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries give up quite a few three-point shots, which could lead to higher scores. Their rebounding stats show they allow a decent number of boards, which might lead to extra scoring opportunities. Our numbers suggest a total combined score of around 164.9, making the over 160.5 a reasonable pick. The biggest risk here is how closely matched these teams are, but with both showing strong form, there's a good chance for plenty of points. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries to Win (+130)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have a solid home advantage, but the Golden State Valkyries are on a good run, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries have been letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, which could be a problem against the Liberty's scoring ability. However, Golden State has shown they can fight back, especially with their recent form giving them a fighting chance in this matchup. Betting on the Valkyries to win feels like a smart choice right now. They are pretty close to the Liberty in overall performance, and the odds are favorable at +102. The biggest risk is that Golden State has been giving up a few more rebounds than usual, which could give New York extra chances to score. Still, I think the Valkyries have what it takes to pull off the win here. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sabrina Ionescu Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (+109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Tonight, Sabrina Ionescu needs to grab some rebounds and dish out assists to hit over 9.5 combined. She's been on fire lately, helping her team win 7 of their last 10 games. The Golden State Valkyries have allowed opponents to rebound quite a bit, giving up an average of 33 boards per game. That means there should be plenty of chances for Sabrina to rack up those stats. However, the game is pretty close, and both teams are fighting hard. If the Valkyries can limit her chances or if the game pace slows down, it could hurt her numbers. Still, with her recent form and the Valkyries' tendency to give up rebounds, there's a good shot for Sabrina to hit that mark tonight. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jonquel Jones Under 11.5 Rebounds and Assists (-109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Jonquel Jones has been playing well, but the Golden State Valkyries have a solid defense. They allow fewer rebounds than most teams, giving up about 33 a game. Plus, they've been tough on assists lately, averaging lower than what we usually see across the league. This could limit Jones' chances to rack up those stats. Betting on Jonquel Jones to get under 11.5 rebounds and assists is worth a look. The matchup is close, which makes it a bit risky since she could easily hit that number if she gets hot. However, with the Valkyries' good defensive numbers, it seems like a smart pick. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have been scoring well, winning 7 of their last 10 games, while the Golden State Valkyries are also on a roll with the same record. Janelle Salaun has been pretty consistent lately, averaging around 2 assists a game in her last 10 outings. With both teams giving up a decent number of assists, it seems likely she can hit over 1.5 assists here. The biggest risk is that Salaun's assist numbers can vary quite a bit, with lows of 0 in some games. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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