Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Prediction & Picks (Kiki Iriafen Key Factor): High-Value Opportunity

For the Phoenix Mercury to cover the 4.5 point spread against the Washington Mystics, they need to keep the game competitive. The Mystics have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, the Mercury have been at home, which can give them an advantage. Plus, they've allowed more rebounds than most teams, which could lead to extra chances for the Mystics. The Mercury have also been letting opponents shoot a lot of three-pointers. If the Mystics can hit their shots from beyond the arc, it might be a close game. Since the matchup is really tight, the risk here is that the Mercury have only won 3 of their last 10 games, so they need to step up tonight. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kiki Iriafen Over 9.5 Rebounds (-110)

Kiki Iriafen has been all over the place with her rebounding lately, hitting as low as 0 and as high as 2 in her last 10 games. However, she's got a solid opportunity against the Washington Mystics, who give away quite a few rebounds each game. The Mystics allow 33.8 rebounds on average, which is a bit more than the league norm. The Phoenix Mercury have also struggled with giving up boards, allowing 35.6 rebounds per game. This matchup could mean more chances for Kiki to grab those rebounds. While it's not guaranteed, the numbers suggest Kiki has a good shot at getting over 9.5 rebounds. Just keep in mind the Mystics are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games, which could affect the flow of the game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Michaela Onyenwere Under 12.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Michaela Onyenwere hasn't been scoring or grabbing boards much lately, with her points, rebounds, and assists averaging under 12.5 across her last games. The Phoenix Mercury are facing the Washington Mystics, who have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Given how both teams play, it might be tough for Onyenwere to hit that mark. The Mercury allow a lot of rebounds, but Onyenwere's off nights have made it harder for her to contribute. With the Mystics also limiting their opponents' scoring chances, there's a solid chance she stays under that total today. Just keep in mind that she could surprise us. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kelsey Plum Under 13.5 Points (-111)

Kelsey Plum has had a mixed bag lately, with her points ranging from 1 to 5 in the last ten games. She's been up and down, which makes betting on her to score a lot tricky. Given the way both teams have played recently, the odds look good for her to hit under 13.5 points. The Phoenix Mercury have won only 4 of their last 10 games and struggle with rebounding, giving up a lot of second chances. Plus, the Mystics have been strong in their last ten games, winning 7 of them. With Kelsey's inconsistency and the close matchup, this bet has solid chances but also a decent risk if she finds her scoring groove. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Phoenix Mercury v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.