Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Pauline Astier Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

The Minnesota Lynx are scoring a strong 91.3 points a game lately, but they also have a solid defense that can hold teams back. The New York Liberty have faced one of the toughest schedules this season, which makes their scoring numbers a bit lower. With both teams showing some good defensive plays, the combined score is likely to stay under 171.5 points. The biggest risk here is that New York has been playing well too, winning four of their last six games. Overall, it feels like there's a good chance this pick will hit. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pauline Astier Over 11.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

The Minnesota Lynx have been on a roll lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring a solid average of 91.3 points. This strong offensive performance puts pressure on the New York Liberty, who have also been doing well but face a tough matchup. Pauline Astier has been contributing with her defensive rebounds, and with the Lynx's fast-paced game, there's a good chance she'll rack up both points and rebounds. Betting on Astier to get over 11.5 combined points and rebounds looks promising based on her recent play. While she hasn't been a standout on blocks, her ability to grab rebounds could shine in this game. The risk is that the Liberty are facing a tough schedule overall, which might limit Astier's opportunities. Still, the numbers suggest she has a good shot at hitting that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 Assists (+111)

Jonquel Jones has been a star for the New York Liberty, but her performance dips when she plays away from home. At home, she averages 2.3 assists, but on the road, that number drops to only 1.2. This means she's less likely to dish out assists in this game against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They've been playing well on both ends of the court, making it tougher for opponents to score. With Jonquel's recent struggles away, betting on her to get under 2.5 assists seems like a smart move. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 7.5 Rebounds (+108)

Napheesa Collier is set at under 7.5 rebounds in this matchup against the New York Liberty, and the odds are looking pretty good at +106. Minnesota has been scoring a lot lately, but Collier's recent numbers show she's averaging about 7.1 rebounds at home and only 6.9 on the road. That's not too far from what we need, which makes this pick quite interesting. Both teams have played some tough opponents lately, and New York's schedule has been one of the hardest in the league. While Collier does have a solid home performance, the risk here is how close the matchup is, which could lead to a tighter game with fewer rebounds available for her. It's a bit of a gamble, but worth considering! It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.