On Monday 28 September 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Dallas Wings in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +7.5 on the Line, priced at -109 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Dallas Wings +7.5 on the Line (-109)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries are both on a strong run, winning five of their last six games. The Wings are scoring a solid 89.1 points per game, which gives them a good chance to keep things competitive. Betting on the Wings to cover the spread of 7.5 points seems smart here. The teams are closely matched, and our numbers suggest it's almost a toss-up, with the expected final margin being just under five points. One risk is that the Wings have to travel a bit more for this game, but they've been playing well, so they can definitely keep it close. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 154 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries and Dallas Wings both have strong offenses, with the Wings scoring an impressive average of 89.1 points a game and the Valkyries not far behind at 82.3 points. Both teams have won five of their last six games, showing they're in great form. With the combined total expected to hit around 156.5 points, betting on over 154 seems reasonable. However, the close matchup means either side could swing the game, so expect some back-and-forth action. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Jessica Shepard has been scoring well lately, making her a solid pick to score over 12.5 points against the Dallas Wings. The Golden State Valkyries have been on fire, winning 5 of their last 6 games and putting up an impressive 82.3 points per game this season. On the other hand, the Wings have also been strong, with 89.1 points per game. This matchup is close, so while Shepard has a good chance to hit her mark, the tight competition means she could be shut down. Keep an eye on how the game flows! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
The odds for Kaila Charles to score over 7.5 points look good at +108. Both the Golden State Valkyries and the Dallas Wings are playing well, with each team winning 5 of their last 6 games. Charles has been active lately, and with the Valkyries scoring an impressive 82.3 points a game, there's a solid chance she gets the looks she needs to hit that mark. However, the Wings have been strong too, averaging 89.1 points a game, so they could keep the pressure on. Since both teams are on a roll, it might be a tight game, but our numbers suggest Charles has a good shot to score. Let's see if she can get it done! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Under 22.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Gabby Williams needs to score low in points, grab fewer rebounds, and dish out less in assists for this bet to hit. She's been playing well, but the Golden State Valkyries and Dallas Wings are both strong teams, so it's tough to see her getting a lot of numbers tonight. The Valkyries have won 7 of their last 10 games and are scoring around 82 points a game, while the Wings are scoring even more, at 89 points per game. This could mean less opportunity for Gabby, especially with both teams focused on their top players. The most concrete risk is that both teams are in good form, making it hard to predict how much she will contribute. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article