On Sunday 27 September 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Las Vegas Aces to Win, priced at -147 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Las Vegas Aces to Win (-147)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces need to keep their winning streak going against the Indiana Fever tonight. The Aces have been on fire, winning their last six games and putting up a solid average of 91.1 points per game this season. They've also won eight of their last ten, showing they know how to keep the momentum going. The Fever are strong as well, winning seven of their last ten and scoring 96.7 points per game, so it won't be an easy matchup. However, the Aces are at home, and they have the advantage of better recent form. One concrete risk is that the teams are quite close in overall wins this season, but the Aces seem likely to come out on top tonight. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 191.5 Total Points (-263)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are on a fantastic run, winning six straight games and scoring an impressive average of 91.1 points. However, the Indiana Fever are also doing well, with a solid average of 96.7 points over their last few games. Despite both teams' scoring abilities, our numbers suggest a combined total of about 167 points, which is quite a bit lower than the line. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are in terms of recent wins. Still, going with the Under 191.5 seems like a smart choice given the trend. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Under 27.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
A'ja Wilson has been a big part of the Las Vegas Aces' success, scoring a lot as they've won 8 of their last 10 games. She's been on fire lately, but she may face a tough challenge against the Indiana Fever, who have also been scoring well. The Fever have won 7 of their last 10, so it could be a close one. Right now, we think A'ja Wilson will score under 27.5 points in this game. The numbers show she may struggle to reach that mark, especially with the Fever's strong defense. While she can definitely light it up, the match-up suggests it could be a lower-scoring night for her. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jackie Young Under 25.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jackie Young has been playing well, but she faces a tough matchup against the Indiana Fever. Both teams are scoring high, with the Fever averaging 96.7 points a game, but Jackie's recent points and rebounds may struggle against a solid defense. The Las Vegas Aces have also won six games in a row, so they'll be ready to keep their momentum going. Betting on Jackie Young to score under 25.5 points and rebounds is worth a look, especially since the matchup is close to a coin flip. The biggest risk is that both teams are performing well, and if Jackie has a breakout game, she could easily surpass that number. Still, her recent form suggests this total might be hard to hit. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chelsea Gray Under 5.5 Assists (+112)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
You can get odds of +115 for Chelsea Gray to have under 5.5 assists in this game. Our numbers show a good chance of this happening, especially since the Las Vegas Aces are on a hot streak, winning six in a row. They also score a lot, but that might mean fewer opportunities for assists as they focus on putting points on the board. The Indiana Fever are no slouches either, winning four of their last six games and scoring a solid amount themselves. The closest risk here is both teams have strong offenses, which could lead to more assists than we expect. But with Chelsea's recent performance, this bet looks solid. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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