On Friday 18 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +7 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

New York Liberty +7 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx have been playing well, but the New York Liberty can really challenge them with their scoring. Our numbers see this matchup as almost even, suggesting the Liberty can keep it close, especially with the Lynx only projected to win by just over four points. One thing to watch is that the Liberty have to travel a bit, which can sometimes affect how well they play. Still, getting seven points makes this bet appealing. The Liberty have the talent to stay competitive, and they could surprise everyone with a strong showing. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 183.5 Total Points (-213)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx have been solid lately, but the New York Liberty brings some tough competition. We're betting on the total points to be under 183.5. Our numbers suggest that the combined score will be around 162.9, which is a fair bit lower than what we're betting on. The Liberty and Lynx both focus on defense, and recent games show they've been limiting their opponents' scoring. The most concrete risk here is that both teams are quite close in win percentage, which could lead to a surprising offensive burst. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Leonie Fiebich Over 3.5 Rebounds (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Leonie Fiebich has been showing some solid form lately, especially when it comes to grabbing rebounds. In her last few games, she's been averaging around two offensive rebounds, which is a bit higher than usual. With the Minnesota Lynx taking on the New York Liberty at home, I think she has a good shot at securing over 3.5 rebounds in this matchup. The Lynx will need her presence on the boards, especially since they've been a bit inconsistent on defense. The close nature of this game means both teams will be fighting hard, and that can lead to more missed shots and opportunities for rebounds. Just keep in mind that Fiebich has had a few games where she hasn't hit her usual numbers. Overall, though, this looks like a promising pick for her. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Han Xu Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

At Target Center, the Minnesota Lynx take on the New York Liberty, both teams coming off solid wins lately. Han Xu has a good shot at making at least one three-pointer since both teams allow a fair number of attempts from behind the arc. The Lynx let opponents take around 23.7 three-point shots per game, while the Liberty are pretty similar at 22.6. It's also worth noting that Han Xu has had some quieter games recently, which could affect her chances. Still, our numbers give this a good chance to hit. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Natasha Howard Over 6.5 Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Betting on Natasha Howard to get over 6.5 rebounds offers a solid chance based on her recent play. Our numbers suggest she's been grabbing around 5.2 defensive rebounds lately, which shows she's been active in that area. Plus, the Lynx will be playing at home, and they usually have a good crowd that can help boost energy. Just remember, the biggest risk is that her recent numbers could drop if the game pace changes unexpectedly. But overall, it looks promising for Howard to hit that rebound mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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