On Sunday 18 October 2026, Liverpool play Brighton and Hove Albion in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Liverpool Draw No Bet, priced at -172 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to face Brighton, the stage is set for a compelling clash at Anfield. The Reds, although facing some inconsistency recently, have managed a respectable home record with three wins in their last five outings. Their attacking prowess, averaging 14 shots per game, indicates a propensity to create chances, even if their recent scoring has dipped to just over a goal per match. Brighton, while an energetic side, struggles to contain high-pressure offenses. With Liverpool's xG averaging 0 in recent games, it might seem worrisome, but their ability to dominate possession and pepper the goal with shots should create opportunities. Additionally, Brighton's defense has shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.4 goals on the road. Given Liverpool's home advantage and Brighton's shaky defense, backing the Reds in the Draw No Bet market feels like a savvy play.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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