On Saturday 24 October 2026, Liverpool play Brighton and Hove Albion in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool gears up to host Brighton, the stage is set for a thrilling encounter. Despite a rocky patch recently, the Reds have shown they can break through defenses, averaging a solid 14 shots per match at Anfield. Even though their last five home games have seen only a modest goal average, Brighton's propensity for high-scoring affairs makes this clash intriguing. Brighton, known for their attacking style, often pushes the envelope, and their games tend to produce a flurry of goals. With Liverpool's attacking arsenal and the Seagulls' defensive vulnerabilities, the likelihood of seeing at least two goals feels almost inevitable. Plus, Liverpool's need to regain momentum at home adds an extra layer of motivation. Expect fireworks when these two meet!
Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Liverpool Moneyline (+115)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to host Brighton, the narrative is heavily tilted in favor of the Reds. Despite their mixed home form, where they've recorded three wins in the last five, they remain a formidable force at Anfield. The stats tell a compelling story: Liverpool averages over 14 shots per game and has been consistently pressuring opponents, with a solid expected goals (xG) average that hints at untapped potential just waiting to be unlocked. Brighton, on the other hand, has struggled to find the net against top-tier teams, often falling short in their xG. Their recent away record leaves much to be desired, and facing a Liverpool side that tends to dominate possession could spell trouble. Given Liverpool's home advantage and Brighton's recent challenges, backing the Reds for the win seems not just reasonable, but smart. Expect them to capitalize on their chances and secure a vital three points.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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