On Saturday 24 October 2026, Liverpool play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at +112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool gears up to face Arsenal, the recent form of both teams suggests a cagey affair. Liverpool's attack has sputtered lately, averaging just 1 goal per game at home, with a troubling xG of zero in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Arsenal's away form has been solid, yet they're only scoring an average of 1.2 goals, backed by their own xG struggles. Both sides have faced tough defenses, resulting in low-scoring outputs-Liverpool's opponents netting just 0.8 goals against them, while Arsenal has allowed only 0.8 goals away from home. The historical record between these two indicates a tendency towards tight matches, with several recent encounters finishing with under 2.5 goals. Given these trends, backing the under seems a wise approach; it captures the essence of two sides who will likely prioritize defensive solidity over goal-scoring flair.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article