On Friday 2 October 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Las Vegas Aces to Win, priced at -175 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Las Vegas Aces to Win (-175)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are playing great basketball right now, having won six straight games. They have a strong scoring average of 91.6 points per game this season, which shows they can really put up numbers. They've also won eight of their last ten, so they're on a roll at home in the Michelob Ultra Arena. The Indiana Fever have been decent too, winning five of their last ten games, but they are not as consistent. Their scoring has been high at 98.0 points per game in their last 20 games, but they might struggle against the Aces' strong defense. The biggest risk here is how close the teams are in overall performance, but the Aces seem to have the better form right now. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 188.5 Total Points (-227)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are scoring an impressive 91.6 points a game and have won their last six games, showing they know how to put points on the board. However, the Indiana Fever have been scoring 98.0 points a game in their recent matches, which makes this matchup interesting. Despite both teams being capable scorers, our numbers suggest a total around 167.6 points, so betting on under 188.5 seems smart. The biggest risk is that both teams might find a scoring rhythm, but with the Aces' strong recent form, it's likely they'll control the pace of the game. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Aliyah Boston Under 18.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Aliyah Boston has been pretty consistent lately, but she faces a tough challenge against the Las Vegas Aces. They've been on fire, winning their last six games and scoring an impressive 91.6 points per game. This high-energy game could make it hard for Boston to rack up points and assists, especially since the Aces' defense is strong. While Boston averages around 14.8 points and 2.7 assists at night, she might find it tricky to hit the over of 18.5 in this matchup. The Aces will put pressure on her, and with the way they've been playing, there's a real chance she could fall short. So, it's worth considering the under on her points and assists in this game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Caitlin Clark has been playing really well, but facing the Las Vegas Aces is tough. The Aces have won six games in a row and have a strong defense. They're letting up less than 92 points on average, which means scoring can be hard against them. With the Aces on a winning streak and Clark needing to find ways to score, she might have a tougher night. Clark has been averaging a solid number of points, but the Aces are known for shutting down big scorers. Indiana Fever has only won five of their last ten games, and this matchup could make it tricky for her to hit over 22.5 points. So, while she's talented, the challenge she faces tonight is real. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chelsea Gray Under 16.5 Points and Rebounds (-112)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Chelsea Gray has been playing well lately, but she might struggle in this matchup against the Indiana Fever. The Fever have been scoring high, averaging almost 98 points in their last 20 games. However, the Aces' strong defense could make things tough for Gray, especially since they've won their last six games and know how to limit opponents' scoring. The bet is for Gray to score under 16.5 points and rebounds. While she's had some solid performances, the Fever could keep her in check. There's a chance this could go either way, but with both teams being close in scoring lately, it might not be easy for her to hit that number. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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