On Thursday 1 October 2026, Dallas Wings play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +4 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Dallas Wings +4 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings have been on fire lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of almost 90 points per game. They've also taken 5 out of their last 6 matches, showing they know how to put points on the board. For this game, I like the Wings to cover the spread by taking them with a +4, especially since they're playing at home. The Golden State Valkyries have done well too, winning 7 of their last 10, but they faced a tougher schedule than most teams. The Wings' recent scoring and solid home performance give them a good chance to keep this close or even win outright. One risk is that the teams have similar recent form, making it tougher to predict the outcome. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 151 Total Points (-179)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings are on a hot streak, winning five of their last six games and scoring an impressive 89.4 points per game this season. The Golden State Valkyries have also been strong, but they faced tougher opponents recently, which could weigh them down. With both teams scoring well and our numbers suggesting a combined total of around 168 points, betting on over 151 seems like a good idea. Just remember, the Valkyries have also been playing well, so it could end up closer than expected. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Jessica Shepard has been on fire lately, especially at night, where she scores around 16 points and dishes out over 5 assists. The Dallas Wings are also scoring a lot, averaging nearly 90 points per game. This means there are plenty of chances for Shepard to rack up her points. The Golden State Valkyries have faced a tougher schedule, which could make it harder for them to keep up. The main risk here is that if the game turns into a low-scoring affair, Shepard might not hit the 12 points we need. But overall, this bet looks strong. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Kayla Thornton has been struggling a bit with her rebounding lately, which makes this bet interesting. She has a low average of just 4.5 points and assists at night, and when the game is during the day, her numbers are much better. Since this matchup is at night, we might not see her grab many boards. Both the Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries have been playing well recently, winning five of their last six games. However, with Thornton's night performance being less impressive, there's a good chance she could fall short of 4.5 rebounds. The risk here is that it's a close matchup, and Thornton could surprise us. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Maddy Siegrist Under 11.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (+110)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Maddy Siegrist has been solid for the Dallas Wings, but her numbers can dip when she's playing away. At home, she averages 4.3 rebounds and assists, but on the road, that drops to just 2.8. With the Wings scoring a lot, it might seem like she'll have chances, but the Golden State Valkyries are tough opponents and have faced a stronger schedule than most. This matchup is tight, and Siegrist could struggle to hit the mark of over 11.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. The risk here is that she might not get enough opportunities against a well-rounded team like the Valkyries. So, taking the under feels like a smart move for this game. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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