Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction & Picks, October 18, 2026

The Packers are listed at -115 to win, and our numbers suggest it's a pretty even matchup. Green Bay's quarterback has faced a lot of pressure this season, getting extra rushers much more often than usual. They also have a solid record at home, especially when it comes to close games-many of their matches have ended just a few points apart. On the flip side, the Cowboys have struggled on grass, winning less than half their games in those conditions. Plus, they gave up quite a few points to kickers last season, which could play into this game. The biggest risk here is how closely matched these teams are, making it tough to predict the outcome.

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys: Under 26.5 Team Total Points (-108)

This game features the Green Bay Packers taking on the Dallas Cowboys, and the Packers have a solid chance of keeping the Cowboys' score low. Green Bay has been tough at home, winning 7 of their last 10 games when listed as underdogs. Also, Dallas struggled last season, allowing the most touchdowns to wide receivers in the league, which could affect their ability to score. While the Packers' quarterback faced extra pressure from defenses quite often, the Cowboys' quarterback dealt with a similar challenge. This means both teams might find it hard to put up big points. Betting on the Packers to score under 26.5 points seems smart, but remember, the Cowboys could surprise us with their offense.

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys: Matthew Golden Under 66.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

The bet on Matthew Golden to have under 66.5 receiving yards looks solid at these odds. The Dallas Cowboys struggled last season by allowing the most touchdowns to wide receivers, which might seem like a lot, but their defense has tightened up against big yardage gains. Plus, they've had a decent record on artificial fields, winning more than half their games there. On the other hand, Golden's quarterback has faced extra rushers often, which can make it tougher to get those big plays. Since Green Bay has won 7 of their last 10 games as home underdogs, they might keep things close, but that could also mean fewer chances for Golden to rack up the yards. It's definitely a risky game, and it could go either way.

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys: Christian Watson Under 76.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

The Green Bay Packers are playing at home, and they've done well as underdogs, winning 7 of their last 10 regular-season games in that situation. Christian Watson has been a bright spot for the Packers, but their quarterback faced extra pressure more often than usual. This could limit his chances for big plays, especially against the Dallas Cowboys, who struggled last season with giving up touchdowns to receivers. The Cowboys also have a solid defense, and they know how to handle wide receivers. With both teams showing some weaknesses, the matchup might not favor Watson hitting high receiving yards. There's a concrete risk here since both quarterbacks have faced extra rushers frequently, which could hinder their passing games. Overall, betting on Watson to stay under 76.5 receiving yards seems like a reasonable choice.

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys: Dak Prescott Under 277.5 Passing Yards (-111)

You can get Dak Prescott's passing yards under 277.5 at a decent price. Our numbers show a good chance for this pick, especially since the Green Bay Packers have a solid defense that can pressure quarterbacks. Prescott faced extra rushers on about a third of his dropbacks last season, which could make it tough for him to put up big yardage. Also, the Cowboys' defense gave up a lot of touchdowns to wide receivers last season, but that doesn't always mean big passing yards. The Packers have been strong at home against the spread, winning 7 of their last 10 games as underdogs. The risk here is that both teams have quarterbacks who faced similar pressure last year, so it could be a closer matchup than expected.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.