On Friday 21 August 2026, Essendon Bombers play Port Adelaide Power in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals, priced at -400 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Angus Clarke to go over 9.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between Essendon Bombers and Port Adelaide Power, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Clarke has been a consistent force at home, averaging 13.8 disposals in his last five games at Marvel Stadium. His recent form shows a steady rise in key metrics like kicks (9.4) and metres gained (268.8), indicating his influence on the field. With a current hit streak of 5 in home games and an impressive contested possessions average of 3.2, Clarke is poised to make a significant impact. Factor in his solid disposal efficiency (79.8%) and knack for intercepts (2.6), and the Over on his disposals seems like a smart play. Clarke's ability to find the footy and create opportunities for his team makes him a reliable bet to surpass the 9.5 mark and contribute meaningfully to Essendon's efforts.

Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 10.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy fanatics, let's dive into why Angus Clarke is primed to rack up over 10.5 disposals in the upcoming Essendon Bombers showdown against Port Adelaide Power at Marvel Stadium. Clarke's recent form at home screams consistency, averaging 13.8 disposals per game over the last 5 home matches, with an impressive 79.8% disposal efficiency. With an uptick in intercepts (2.6) and kicks (9.4) in his home games, Clarke is proving to be a pivotal link in Essendon's midfield. Facing Port Adelaide on home turf, Clarke's knack for finding the footy, coupled with his solid recent performance, positions him well to surpass the 10.5 disposal line. Bet on Clarke to be at the heart of the action, feeding the Bombers' attacking drive and hitting the over with ease.

Peter Wright (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Peter Wright's recent form playing at Marvel Stadium, we see a player who thrives on the home turf. Over his last five games at home, Wright has been consistently racking up the disposals, averaging a solid 11 per game. Against Port Adelaide specifically, he's even more impressive, averaging 7 disposals in their last five encounters. With his ability to cover the ground efficiently, boasting a 73.3% disposal efficiency and gaining an average of 151.8 meters per game at home, Wright is set to make his presence felt in this matchup. Considering his recent trend of hitting the over in 9 out of his last 10 home games, backing Wright to surpass 9.5 disposals against Port Adelaide seems like a smart play for this upcoming clash at Marvel Stadium.

That is how our model reads Essendon Bombers v Port Adelaide Power. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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