Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks (Jessica Shepard Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

The odds for Jessica Shepard to score under 14.5 points look appealing, especially with our numbers rating it close to a coin flip. The Dallas Wings have been performing decently, winning 5 of their last 10 games, and they've typically allowed opponents less than 23 three-point attempts per game. On the other hand, the Phoenix Mercury have struggled more, winning just 3 of their last 10 and coming out 4.8 points behind on average in their last games. One concrete risk is that both teams allow a similar number of three-point shots, so Shepard could find some opportunities. However, with the Wings' recent form and the overall matchup, it feels like there's a good chance she stays under that 14.5 mark. It's not a guarantee, but it's worth a look. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Awak Kuier Under 17.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-112)

Awak Kuier needs to score, grab a few rebounds, and dish out some assists tonight, but the bet is for her to finish with fewer than 17.5 combined. The Dallas Wings have been scoring well lately, averaging 89 points a game, but Kuier may face a tough matchup against the Phoenix Mercury, who have allowed opponents to put up a lot of three-pointers. With the Mercury struggling overall, they could focus on stopping her, making this a close call. Kuier has shown flashes of talent, but she has to compete with other players for stats. The Mercury have won only three of their last ten games and often fall behind, which could limit her chances for big numbers. Since the last several games, her team's scoring could also lead to fewer opportunities for her to shine. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Maddy Siegrist Under 11.5 Points and Rebounds (-102)

Maddy Siegrist has been a key player for the Dallas Wings, but lately, her scoring and rebounding have been a bit quieter. The Wings are in good form with wins in four of their last six games, averaging a strong 89 points per game. On the other hand, the Phoenix Mercury have struggled, winning just three of their last ten, and they often allow opponents to hit plenty of three-pointers. The bet here is for Siegrist to have under 11.5 points and rebounds in this matchup. While she can shine, the Mercury are tough defensively and have a habit of keeping scores down. With the way the teams are playing, this bet has a good chance, but the risk is that Siegrist could surprise us if she gets hot. It was priced at -102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Phoenix Mercury. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.