Dallas Wings vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks (Arike Ogunbowale Key Factor): Our Expert Analysis

The odds for Dallas Wings to win are pretty solid at -286, and our numbers really like them as a strong favorite. They're showing a good scoring form lately and have a solid net difference that suggests they can outplay the Sparks. Plus, the Sparks have had a lot more travel to deal with, which can wear them down. One risk is that the teams are closer in winning percentages than you might think, so it's not a guaranteed win. But overall, the Wings are in better shape right now and should have the advantage playing at home. It's a good spot for Dallas to take care of business against Los Angeles. It was priced at -286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Arike Ogunbowale Over 3.5 Assists (+112)

Arike Ogunbowale has been on fire lately, averaging almost 19 points in her last few games. She's also making more shots than usual, with about six field goals per game, which shows she's involved in the offense. With the Dallas Wings playing at home, she should have the crowd behind her, adding to her momentum. The bet on Arike getting over 3.5 assists seems promising. She's been taking more chances and getting her teammates involved, but the Sparks are a tough team, and they can play good defense. That's the main risk here. Still, with the way she's playing, this could be a great chance to score big on this bet. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jessica Shepard Under 20.5 Points and Assists (-112)

Jessica Shepard has been playing well lately, but the numbers suggest she might struggle to reach 20.5 points and assists against the Los Angeles Sparks. She's been averaging fewer free throws and three-point shots than usual, which could limit her scoring chances. Plus, her recent turnover rate has been higher than normal, meaning she might not get as many opportunities to contribute. The Sparks have a strong defense, which could make things even tougher for Shepard. They are known for creating pressure and forcing errors, and this could lead to a lower overall game score. With the matchup being so close, there is a real chance Shepard might not hit the mark today. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Paige Bueckers Under 27.5 Points and Assists (-112)

Paige Bueckers has been putting up some impressive numbers lately, scoring around 23 points per game and making more three-point shots than usual. However, she has struggled a bit with assists, averaging less than two in recent games. That's a key reason why betting on her to score under 27.5 combined points and assists seems smart right now. The Dallas Wings will be facing the Los Angeles Sparks, and both teams are known for their strong defenses. With Bueckers playing against a tough matchup, there's a solid chance she won't hit that 27.5 mark. Keep in mind, she might still have a great game, but the matchup could prevent her from reaching those numbers. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Los Angeles Sparks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.