Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Prediction & Picks: Stat-Based Insights

On Saturday 12 September 2026, Curtis Blaydes takes on Waldo Cortes Acosta in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Curtis Blaydes to Win, priced at +177 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Curtis Blaydes to Win (+177)

Betting on Curtis Blaydes to win at +177 offers solid value. Blaydes is known for his wrestling skills, which could be a big factor in this fight. He needs to control the pace and use his grappling to keep Waldo Cortes Acosta off balance. While Blaydes is the underdog here, our numbers suggest he has a real shot at winning. The main risk is that Cortes Acosta is a strong striker and could catch Blaydes if he doesn't play it smart. That said, if Blaydes can take the fight to the ground and avoid standing toe-to-toe, he has a great chance to get the victory. It was priced at +177 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.70 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Curtis Blaydes v Waldo Cortes Acosta. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.