On Wednesday 21 October 2026, Crystal Palace play Newcastle United in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace -0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at +135 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace prepares to host Newcastle, the context of their recent form suggests they might just edge this encounter. Palace's home record has been a mixed bag lately, but they’ve shown resilience against Newcastle, winning two of their last five meetings. In the last five games overall, they’ve managed to score an average of 1.6 goals, while Newcastle's away struggles are evident, averaging just one goal per match and leaking 2.2. Palace's attacking stats reveal they’ve been taking more shots, averaging over 12 per game at home, which should create opportunities against a Newcastle side that’s failed to find its rhythm away from home. With Palace holding the slight advantage in head-to-head matchups and better recent scoring, backing them at -0.25 looks appealing. If they secure a narrow victory, which is certainly within reach, your bet will pay off.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Crystal Palace Moneyline (+185)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace gears up to host Newcastle United, there’s a palpable sense of opportunity in the air. The Eagles have been resilient at Selhurst Park, with a home record that features two wins in their last five matchups, underscoring their competitive spirit. They average 1.8 goals at home while showcasing a solid defensive effort, even if the last few games have been a mixed bag. Newcastle, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, netting just one goal in their last five away matches. With an xG average that mirrors Palace’s recent form, it’s evident that they’re not creating enough chances to threaten effectively. Given that Palace holds a favorable head-to-head record against Newcastle, this clash offers a ripe opportunity for the home side to capitalize on their current momentum. Backing Crystal Palace as the match winner feels like a savvy play amidst these trends.
That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Newcastle United. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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