On Wednesday 30 September 2026, Como play AS Roma in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at +115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Como vs AS Roma: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Como prepares to host AS Roma, the signs point toward a tightly contested affair that may not light up the scoreboard. Recent trends underscore this notion; Como has averaged just 1.8 goals over their last five matches, while their defensive solidity has limited opponents to only 1.2 goals per game. Their home form is equally impressive, yielding an average of 2.2 scored and just 1 conceded. Looking at xG, both sides have struggled to create clear-cut chances lately, which aligns with Como’s recent streak against Roma, with two draws in their last five meetings. With Roma also experiencing a dip in offensive output, the expectation of fewer than 2.5 total goals feels like the right call. Given the low-scoring history and the defensive nature of both teams, betting on the under could be a savvy play come Sunday.

Como vs AS Roma: AS Roma +0 Goal Handicap (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As AS Roma heads to Como, the dynamics of this Serie A clash favor the visitors. Roma's strong attacking form has seen them average nearly two goals per game in their last five outings, while Como has struggled defensively, conceding at least one goal per match at home. The stats paint an even clearer picture: Como may have a solid home record of 3-1-1, but their xG numbers suggest they’ve been a bit lucky, rather than dominant. Meanwhile, Roma's recent results show they can capitalize on defensive lapses—something Como has exhibited, with an average of 1.2 goals allowed in their last five. With AS Roma's attacking prowess coupled with Como’s vulnerabilities, betting on Roma to cover the handicap seems promising. Expect the visitors to assert their quality and come away with the win, making this a compelling wager.

That is how our model reads Como v AS Roma. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article