On Monday 12 October 2026, Chelsea play Tottenham Hotspur in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Chelsea prepares to host Tottenham, the stage is set for a thrilling encounter, and the ‘Over 1.5 goals’ market looks particularly inviting. Chelsea's attack has been buzzing at home, averaging 2.8 goals over their last five matches in front of their fans. Meanwhile, they’ve a perfect record against Spurs lately, winning the last five meetings without conceding. Tottenham, on the other hand, struggles to find the net, averaging just 0.8 goals away from home. However, recent form shows that they can be dangerous, with a willingness to push forward despite their struggles. Given Chelsea's form and their propensity to convert chances—averaging over 12 shots per game—the likelihood of at least two goals feels solid. The atmosphere at Stamford Bridge adds to the expectation of goals, making the Over 1.5 line a compelling bet for this London derby.
That is how our model reads Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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