On Monday 12 October 2026, Brentford play Liverpool in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Liverpool +0.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -189 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool heads to Brentford, the statistics paint a compelling picture for backing the Reds on the handicap. Despite some recent inconsistency, they’ve proven resilient against Brentford, boasting a solid record of three wins from their last five encounters. Meanwhile, Brentford's home form has been shaky, with just one win in their last five, and they struggle to convert chances, averaging only 1.8 goals scored per match. Liverpool's recent away performance has seen them average 1.8 goals as well, indicating they can find the back of the net against a Brentford side that allows about 1.6 goals per game at home. Expect them to step up and claim the vital away win.
Brentford vs Liverpool: Liverpool Moneyline (+165)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Brentford hosts Liverpool, the contrast in recent form is striking. While Brentford boasts a decent home record with three wins in their last five, their overall performance has been shaky, particularly against top teams, as evidenced by their 1-4-0 record recently. On the other hand, Liverpool, despite a mixed bag of results away, has shown resilience, claiming points in crucial matches. The numbers tell a compelling story: Brentford's attack is averaging just 1.8 goals per game at home, while Liverpool, even on the road, is maintaining a steady output of 1.8 goals. With Brentford struggling to convert chances (just 0.8 assists per game), Liverpool's experience and attacking prowess should prevail. Given the recent head-to-head advantage (Liverpool’s 3-1-1 record against Brentford), backing the Reds seems like a savvy play in this encounter.
That is how our model reads Brentford v Liverpool. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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