On Sunday 11 October 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Nottingham Forest +0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at +105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Nottingham Forest prepares to face Arsenal, the narrative isn’t as clear-cut as one might think. While Arsenal boasts a formidable away record, winning four of their last five, Forest has shown resilience despite recent struggles, especially at home. They may be averaging just 0.4 goals at home, but their defensive work—their opponents averaging 0.8 goals—suggests they can hold their ground. Moreover, Forest creates a fair number of chances, averaging 16 shots per game. If they can convert just a fraction of those into goals, they have an excellent shot at covering the 0.75 handicap. Arsenal might take the honors in the scoreboard, but with Forest's recent trend of close matches against them, expect a tight affair where they could very well emerge with a crucial point—or more. This makes backing Nottingham Forest at 0.75 an intriguing proposition.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Draw Moneyline (+295)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the draw emerges as an intriguing betting angle. Despite Arsenal's impressive recent form, with four wins in their last five away matches, Forest has shown resilience, especially at home. Over their last five games, Forest has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.4 goals at home, while Arsenal's defense has been solid, conceding an average of only 0.8 goals in away games. However, recent head-to-head encounters have often been closely contested, with Forest managing to stymie Arsenal's attack in the past. With Forest's defensive tactics likely to frustrate an Arsenal side that’s been scoring but not always convincingly, expect a tight match. The odds suggest a 24.3% chance of a draw, and with the stakes high, this could very well be a stalemate as both sides settle for a point.
That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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