On Thursday 22 October 2026, Chelsea play Manchester United in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Manchester United +0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at -154 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Chelsea prepares to host Manchester United, the narrative leans towards the visitors finding their footing despite recent struggles. United's away form has been underwhelming, but they’ve shown resilience against Chelsea in their last five meetings, securing two wins. Chelsea's home record has fluctuated, with a modest 2-1-2 in their last five, averaging 2.8 goals scored but also conceding 2. The Blues’ xG figures haven't reflected their attacking capabilities lately, suggesting they might struggle to convert chances. On the flip side, United, despite their inconsistent away results, have still averaged 1.4 goals in their last outings. With their attacking statistics pointing to a potential breakout, this could be the match they turn it around. Betting on United at +0.75 offers a cushion, making it an appealing option as they look to capitalize on Chelsea’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Chelsea vs Manchester United: Manchester United Moneyline (+260)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Chelsea prepares to face Manchester United, there's a compelling narrative unfolding, particularly for the visitors. Recent form shows Chelsea's home record is a mixed bag, with only two wins in their last five. Meanwhile, United's gritty performance has them poised for a resurgence despite a tough stretch, having drawn four of their last five away games. While Chelsea has been scoring an average of 2.8 goals at home, they’ve also allowed 2, highlighting vulnerabilities in their defense. United's attack, averaging 1.4 away goals, has been creating chances, with an impressive shot count hovering around 17.6. Their ability to break down defenses, combined with Chelsea's shaky form, makes a bet on the Red Devils appealing. With their historical record against Chelsea showing resilience, this matchup could very well tilt in United's favor, making them a valuable pick for the win.
That is how our model reads Chelsea v Manchester United. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article