On Monday 12 October 2026, Athletic Bilbao play Getafe in La Liga. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -159 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Athletic Bilbao prepares to host Getafe, the signs point towards a match that could be more about stout defending than free-flowing football. Bilbao's home form has seen them average just 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings, while they’ve kept opponents to a mere 0.6 goals. Meanwhile, Getafe's struggles are evident; they haven’t found the net in their last five away matches, averaging a staggering 0 goals and a meager 1.2 shots on target. This matchup is ripe for low scoring, underscored by both teams’ recent xG statistics reflecting a lack of offensive potency. With both sides showing a tendency to grind out results rather than engage in shootouts, betting on under 2.5 total goals appears to be the smart move. Expect a tightly contested affair where defenses will be the stars of the show.
That is how our model reads Athletic Bilbao v Getafe. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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