On Saturday 24 October 2026, Athletic Bilbao play Getafe in La Liga. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Getafe +1 Goal Handicap, priced at -135 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: Getafe +1 Goal Handicap (-135)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Athletic Bilbao and Getafe prepare for their clash, recent form leans in favor of the visitors. Bilbao has struggled at home, managing just one win in their last five matches while averaging a scant 1.2 goals per game at San Mames. Their xG numbers tell a similar story, reflecting a lack of cutting edge. On the other hand, Getafe, despite their own recent woes, have shown resilience against Bilbao, boasting a solid historical record with two wins in their last five encounters. While they've struggled to score lately, their defensive discipline is apparent, allowing just 1.8 goals per game away. With Bilbao's home advantage seeming less potent and Getafe having the ability to grind out results, backing Getafe with a +1 handicap looks like a sharp play. They're well-positioned to secure at least a draw, which could easily translate into a winning bet.
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-189)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Athletic Bilbao prepares to host Getafe, the corner flag could see plenty of action. Bilbao's attacking style is evident-they're averaging nearly 20 shots per game at home, leading to a solid corner tally of 1.8. Though they've struggled to convert those chances into goals lately, their relentless pressure often results in corners. On the other side, Getafe has been under siege, conceding an average of 14.4 fouls and 15 shots per game on the road. Their defensive approach could easily lead to more corner kicks as they scramble to prevent Bilbao from breaking through. Given the recent trends, with both teams' corner counts trending upwards, betting on Over 8.5 corners seems like a smart play. The match dynamics suggest that we'll see more than enough corner kicks, making this bet an enticing prospect for Sunday's showdown.
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-161)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Athletic Bilbao prepares to host Getafe, the stage is set for a match that could see fireworks-or, more likely, a muted scoreline. Both teams are struggling offensively, with Bilbao averaging just one goal at home in their last five outings, and Getafe failing to find the net on the road. Recent trends reveal a stark contrast in creativity, with Bilbao's expected goals (xG) hovering around zero. Meanwhile, Getafe has managed a meager 0.6 goals per game away from home. Defensively, Bilbao has tightened up, conceding only 0.8 goals per game in their last five. With both sides struggling to generate clear chances, the under 2.5 goals market feels like a wise choice. Expect a cautious affair, where both teams prioritize stability over risk, making low scoring a strong possibility in this La Liga clash.
That is how our model reads Athletic Bilbao v Getafe. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.