On Thursday 22 October 2026, Athletic Bilbao play Getafe in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -164 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Athletic Bilbao faces off against Getafe, the stage is set for a tactical showdown that screams “under” in total goals. Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net lately, with Bilbao averaging just 1 goal at home and Getafe managing a mere 0.6 away. The numbers paint a stark picture: in their last five outings, Bilbao’s xG is alarmingly low, reflecting a lack of clear scoring chances, while Getafe’s away form has been abysmal, failing to score in their last five away matches. Recent head-to-heads also favor a low-scoring affair, with both sides often canceling each other out. With Athletic's average opponent score standing at 1, and Getafe conceding 1.8 on the road, it’s hard to envision this one breaking the 2.5 goal threshold. Expect a cagey match where defenses will reign supreme.
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: Getafe +1 Goal Handicap (-154)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As we look ahead to this clash between Athletic Bilbao and Getafe, the recent form paints a compelling picture for those considering a bet on Getafe with a handicap of +1. Bilbao’s home record has been shaky, with just one win in their last five outings, averaging only 1.2 goals per game while conceding at least one. In contrast, Getafe may have struggled lately, but they've had some positive encounters against Bilbao, holding a 2-1-2 record in their last five meetings. What’s particularly intriguing is that Getafe's defense has proven resilient, despite their recent scoring woes. They’ve managed to restrict opponents to an average of just 1.2 goals per game. With Bilbao failing to create significant xG in their last matches, it seems reasonable to expect Getafe to at least hold their own, if not snatch a draw or a narrow loss, making the +1 handicap a savvy play.
That is how our model reads Athletic Bilbao v Getafe. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article