On Saturday 17 October 2026, Valencia play Athletic Bilbao in La Liga. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Valencia +0 Goal Handicap, priced at +115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao: Valencia +0 Goal Handicap (+115)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Valencia prepares to host Athletic Bilbao, recent trends suggest a favorable outcome for the home side. While Valencia's home form has been shaky with just one win in their last five, they’ve historically fared well against Bilbao, boasting a 3-0-2 record in their last five encounters. Valencia's ability to generate shots—averaging 15.6 per game at home—could prove vital, especially against a Bilbao defense that’s shown vulnerability. With both teams' expected goals averaging around zero, it’s a tight contest, but Valencia's home advantage and historical edge tilt the scales. Betting on Valencia at '0' offers a compelling chance to capitalize on their potential to at least draw, if not secure a victory, in this critical matchup.
That is how our model reads Valencia v Athletic Bilbao. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.