On Sunday 20 September 2026, Toronto Tempo play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 177.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 177.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Toronto Tempo have really struggled lately, winning just one of their last ten games. They've faced some tough teams, which hasn't helped their scoring. On the other hand, the New York Liberty are on a roll, winning seven of their last ten and scoring about 8.4 points more than their opponents on average. Considering how both teams have been performing, we think the total points for this game will stay below 177.5. The Tempo's recent scoring troubles combined with the Liberty's ability to play strong defense makes this a solid pick. However, the risk is that the Liberty have a knack for hitting big shots, which could change the flow of the game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Toronto Tempo +22 on the Line (-333)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Toronto Tempo has struggled, winning just one of their last ten games, while New York Liberty is on a roll with seven wins in their last ten. The Liberty have been scoring well, averaging over eight points more than their opponents in recent games. This bet on Toronto Tempo +22 might seem risky since they've had a tough schedule, but it could be a good chance against a strong Liberty team. The biggest concern is how close the teams have been playing recently, though the numbers suggest Toronto could keep it within that spread. It was priced at -333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jonquel Jones Under 26.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Toronto Tempo have really struggled lately, winning just one of their last ten games. They have faced a tough lineup, with the teams they've played holding a nearly even record overall. On the other hand, the New York Liberty are rolling, having won seven of their last ten and averaging over eight points more than their opponents in recent games. Jonquel Jones is an important player, but with the way things are going for Toronto, she might not hit over 26.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. The Liberty are solid defensively, and the Tempo's recent struggles make this bet look good. The main risk is how close these two teams are in talent, but the Liberty's current form gives us a strong reason to think Jones will stay under that number. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Breanna Stewart Under 23.5 Points and Assists (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Betting on Breanna Stewart to score under 23.5 points and assists looks promising at -112. The New York Liberty have been playing well, winning seven of their last ten games and averaging over eight points more than their opponents recently. However, the Toronto Tempo have faced one of the toughest schedules in the league, and they've struggled, winning only one of their last ten matchups. Stewart might not find it easy against a team that knows how to defend despite their recent struggles. The Tempo also allow a decent number of three-point attempts, but they've been tough overall. The risk is that Stewart could have a standout game, given her talent, but our numbers still suggest this bet has a good chance of hitting. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sabrina Ionescu Under 21.5 Points and Assists (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
For the bet to work tonight, Sabrina Ionescu needs to score fewer than 21.5 points and assists combined. This seems likely because she plays against a tough Toronto Tempo team, who have really struggled lately, winning just one of their last ten games. The Liberty, on the other hand, have been strong, winning seven of their last ten and beating teams by an average of 8.4 points in their recent games. The most concrete risk is that Ionescu can be a strong player, and if she gets hot, she might reach that number quickly. However, with Toronto allowing fewer scoring chances and New York's defense tightening up recently, it's a decent bet to think she'll fall short of that total. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Toronto Tempo v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article