Today's Top AFL Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Thursday 08/20 (Connor Budarick Highlights): Finding the Edge

When it comes to backing a player to hit the over on tackles, Connor Budarick is the man we're looking at for the upcoming Western Bulldogs clash against the Melbourne Demons. Sure, his average tackles may hover around the 1.8 mark in his last five away games, but let's zoom in a bit. Against this very opponent, he's bagged an average of 4 tackles in their away matchups. That's solid. Plus, the line is set at a very manageable 3.5 tackles – well within his reach considering the pressure he's been applying lately. With a hunger to dominate the defensive midfield, Budarick is poised to step up his game and smash that line. So, when it's crunch time at the MCG, expect him to be in the thick of the action, racking up those crucial tackles to help drive the Bulldogs to victory.

Connor Budarick (Western Bulldogs) Over 1.5 player_tackles_over (-169)

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, it's all about finding that hidden gem who's primed to outperform expectations. And this week, my sights are set on Connor Budarick of the Western Bulldogs. Analyzing his last five away games, Budarick has been a defensive powerhouse, averaging 1.8 tackles and 2 one-percenters per game. But what really catches the eye is his history against Melbourne. When facing the Demons away, Budarick ramps up his defensive game, averaging a solid 4 tackles per game. With a line set at just 1.5 tackles, Budarick seems poised to surpass this mark, given his recent form and the extra edge he brings when playing against Melbourne. It's these nuances that make me confident in backing Budarick to snag tackles over 1.5 in this clash.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.