Here are our AFL picks for Thursday 24 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 45.5 totals_q2, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 45.5 totals_q2. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 45.5 totals_q4 (-115)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 45.5 totals_q4. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Over 44.5 team_totals_h1 (-114)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Over 44.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 46.5 team_totals_h1 (-110)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 46.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Over 21.5 team_totals_q1 (-119)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Over 21.5 team_totals_q1. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 22.5 team_totals_q1 (-112)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 22.5 team_totals_q1. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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