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Model picks & player props
Udinese
VS
Fiorentina

Udinese vs Fiorentina Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 11, 2:28AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Outdoor
Sun 21 Dec 2025, 5:00PM
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Fiorentina (Moneyline)
The model graded 3 markets for Udinese vs Fiorentina (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $220 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 52.9%, fair odds 1.89, book price +120, model edge +7.4%. Tip-off Sun 21 Dec 2025, 5:00PM at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Fiorentina · $100 returned $220

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Fiorentina
+120
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
FiorentinaHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FiorentinaHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Udinese

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Fiorentina

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Udinese vs Fiorentina: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineUdinese @ FiorentinaNo line posted
3-1-4past meetings (last 8)
Draw45%Udinese45%Home form8-4-8Away form6-6-8
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Fiorentina have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreUdinese @ FiorentinaNo line posted
60%both teams score %
2 / 8past meetings, both scored
Fiorentina55%Udinese50%Free board19-10
past meetings, both scored2 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 55% of Fiorentina's and 50% of Udinese's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsUdinese @ FiorentinaNo line posted
3 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg2.3
past meetings, over 2.53 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.3 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Udinese @ Fiorentina — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Udinese at Fiorentina — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Udinese @ Fiorentina — model preview

Expert analysis and top Serie A betting picks for Fiorentina vs Udinese. Featuring picks like NA player props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, Serie A parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Fiorentina vs Udinese: Both Teams To Score: Yes (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on both teams to score is backed by the recent scoring trends of both Fiorentina and Udinese. Fiorentina has a solid record at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals in their last 5 home games. Similarly, Udinese has managed to find the net away from home, with an average of 1 goal per game in their last 5 away outings. The expected goals (xG) stats also support this, with Fiorentina's xG at home at 0.98 and Udinese's xG away at 0.98. Moreover, their head-to-head record shows that both teams have scored in 4 out of their last 5 encounters. These stats suggest a high probability of both teams scoring in this match, making 'Yes' a good choice for the Both Teams to Score market.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
21 Dec 25 Moneyline Fiorentina ✓ HIT
21 Dec 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT
21 Dec 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Fiorentina ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Udinese vs Fiorentina in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 21 December 2025 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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