Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 4.5 Rebounds (+102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Devin Carter gears up to face the Orlando Magic, the numbers suggest he may struggle to make a significant impact on the boards. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 3.8 rebounds, and when playing on the road, that dips slightly to 3.6. Compounding this, his performance against the Kings has been particularly underwhelming, with a mere 2.7 rebounds on average, and he hasn't even grabbed a board against them in their last matchup away from home. His overall hit rate shows that he's cleared the 4.5 mark in only 14 of his last 20 games, and when playing away, that number drops dramatically to just 18 out of 20. With an expected stat value of just 3.35 and a solid model edge showing a lean towards the under, betting on Carter to finish with under 4.5 rebounds feels like the sharp play here.

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings roll into Orlando, all eyes will be on Malik Monk, but savvy bettors might want to consider taking the under on his three-pointers made, set at 2.5. While Monk has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent away games reveal a troubling trend: he's averaging just 0.8 threes on the road in his last five outings. Sure, he's had some success against the Magic, hitting 2.4 threes per game over their last five meetings, but don't forget he's only managed 1.2 of those when not playing at home. The pressure of away games can be daunting, and with Monk's overall hit rate dipping to 3 out of 4 in recent matchups, it seems prudent to lean towards an under bet. With the spotlight on him in an unfamiliar arena, we could see Monk struggle to find his rhythm.

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 2.5 Rebounds (+116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming showdown between the Sacramento Kings and the Orlando Magic, targeting Malik Monk for under 2.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. Monk has been consistent lately, but the data suggests his output might dip against Orlando. Over his last five games, he's averaged just two boards, and even more telling is his away performance, where he's pulling down only 1.8 rebounds per game. When facing the Magic, his rebounding average drops to a mere 1.2, underscoring the challenge he faces against their frontcourt. With a solid hit rate of 9 out of 13 games away, Monk's rebounding seems to trend down in hostile territory. Considering the implied probability sits at 46.3%, we're positioned well for this under. Monk may be a dynamic scorer, but when it comes to crashing the boards in Orlando, the numbers lean toward a quieter night.

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