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Model picks & player props
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Winnipeg Jets

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 5:37PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Indoor
Sun 18 Jan 2026, 12:00AM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 (Spread)
The model graded 2 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $142 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 72.1%, fair odds 1.39, book price -238, model edge +1.7%. Tip-off Sun 18 Jan 2026, 12:00AM at Canada Life Centre.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs
+1.5
-238
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Zack MacEwen COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Calle Jarnkrok COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut

Winnipeg Jets

  • Elias Salomonsson DOut
  • Neal Pionk DOut
  • Vladislav Namestnikov COut
  • Gustav Nyquist RWOut
  • Alex Iafallo LWOut
  • Morgan Barron COut
Availability updated Jul 1, 10:34PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Winnipeg JetsNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Winnipeg Jets moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Winnipeg Jets puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Winnipeg Jets total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Winnipeg Jets — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Toronto Maple Leafs at Winnipeg Jets — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Winnipeg Jets
PlayerStatus
Elias Salomonsson DOUT
Neal Pionk DOUT
Vladislav Namestnikov COUT
Gustav Nyquist RWOUT
Alex Iafallo LWOUT
Morgan Barron COUT
Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Zack MacEwen COUT
Max Domi COUT
Calle Jarnkrok COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Jets, or as Jets vs Leafs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 January 2026 at Canada Life Centre. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

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