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Model picks & player props
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Vegas Golden Knights

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 10:15PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
T-Mobile Arena, Vegas
Indoor
Fri 16 Jan 2026, 2:30AM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 Spread -217

The model graded 2 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $146 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 16 Jan 2026, 2:30AM at T-Mobile Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.1%
The price says68.5%
Best price-217
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 High70% chance -217
Puck Lines High98% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs
+1.5
-217
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Zack MacEwen COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Calle Jarnkrok COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut

Vegas Golden Knights

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Availability updated Jul 1, 10:34PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Vegas Golden KnightsNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vegas Golden Knights moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vegas Golden Knights puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vegas Golden Knights total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vegas Golden Knights — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights — recent results

Vegas Golden Knights have won 1 of their last 5 games; Toronto Maple Leafs have won 0 of their last 5.

Vegas Golden Knights — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–3CARHome
L2–4CARAway
L3–5CARHome
W5–4CARHome
L3–4CARAway
Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3OTTAway
L5–6DALHome
L2–6FLAHome
L3–5NYIAway
L0–4WSHHome

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Vegas Golden Knights won 2, Toronto Maple Leafs won 0.

DateVegas Golden KnightsToronto Maple LeafsWinner
Jan 2463Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 1665Vegas Golden Knights

Who’s out or in doubt

4 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Zack MacEwen COUT
Max Domi COUT
Calle Jarnkrok COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Knights, or as Knights vs Leafs. The most recent game between them was Friday 16 January 2026 at T-Mobile Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Vegas Golden Knights 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
24 Jan 2026Vegas Golden Knights @ Toronto Maple Leafs3–6Vegas Golden Knights
16 Jan 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vegas Golden Knights6–5Vegas Golden Knights
Today's selected board

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