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Model picks & player props
Florida Panthers
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 7:23AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Tue 16 Dec 2025, 12:00AM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Florida Panthers Moneyline +105

The model graded 2 markets for Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $205 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 16 Dec 2025, 12:00AM at Benchmark International Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win67.5%
The price says48.8%
Best price+105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Florida Panthers High67% chance +105
Total Goals High99% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Florida Panthers
+105
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Florida PanthersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Florida Panthers

  • Radko Gudas DOut
  • Jacob Markstrom GOut
  • Carter Verhaeghe COut
  • Sam Bennett COut
  • Gustav Forsling DOut
  • Seth Jones DOut
  • Dmitry Kulikov DOut
  • Uvis Balinskis DOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 3:41PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Florida PanthersNo line posted

Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineFlorida Panthers +1.5No line posted

Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; Florida Panthers have won 3 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway
Florida Panthers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–1DETHome
W3–2NYRHome
W6–2TORAway
L1–5OTTAway
L3–4MTLAway

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 1, Florida Panthers won 0.

DateTampa Bay LightningFlorida PanthersWinner
Feb 661Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT
Florida Panthers
PlayerStatus
Radko Gudas DOUT
Jacob Markstrom GOUT
Carter Verhaeghe COUT
Sam Bennett COUT
Gustav Forsling DOUT
Seth Jones DOUT
Dmitry Kulikov DOUT
Uvis Balinskis DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Panthers vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Panthers. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 16 December 2025 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Feb 2026Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning6–1Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's selected board

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