On Wednesday 7 October 2026, Newcastle United play Aston Villa in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle United host Aston Villa, the stage is set for a goal-fest, especially with an alternate total of over 1.5 goals. The Magpies have been scoring freely at home, averaging 2.4 goals over their last five matches while their visitors from Villa Park have shown resilience, netting 1.4 goals on the road recently. Interestingly, Newcastle's home fixtures have consistently produced goals, with their last five home games yielding an impressive average of 2.4 goals per match. Aston Villa, despite some struggles, has maintained a decent attacking flow, averaging 1.4 goals away from home, which should keep the pressure on Newcastle’s defense. With both teams having a history of scoring against each other—evidenced by their last five encounters producing goals—betting on over 1.5 goals feels like a smart play in what promises to be an entertaining clash.
That is how our model reads Newcastle United v Aston Villa. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article