Francisco Lindor (NYM) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Francisco Lindor for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice, primarily based on Lindor's recent performance data. Over his last five games, both overall and at home, Lindor has averaged zero stolen bases. This trend suggests that he is not currently a significant base-stealing threat. Furthermore, his performance against the White Sox also supports the under bet, as he's averaged just 0.2 stolen bases in his last five games against this team. Even when considering his current hit streak, Lindor's lack of stolen bases in recent games indicates a lower likelihood of him stealing a base in the upcoming game. Therefore, the under 0.5 bet is statistically justified.

Griffin Canning (NYM) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Griffin Canning's recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game. In his last five games, he has averaged 5 hits allowed overall and 4.2 hits at home. This trend continues when specifically facing the Chicago White Sox, with an average of 4.5 hits allowed. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he will be on the mound for a sufficient amount of time to potentially give up more than 2.5 hits. Furthermore, Canning is currently on an 11-game hit streak overall and a 5-game hit streak at home, reinforcing the likelihood of this trend continuing. Therefore, based on the data, betting on Griffin Canning to allow over 2.5 hits is a statistically sound choice.

Griffin Canning (NYM) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Griffin Canning's recent performance data strongly supports the Over 0.5 bet in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. Over the last five games, his average walks allowed, both overall and at home, have consistently exceeded 0.5 (2.2 and 2 respectively). This demonstrates a pattern of Canning allowing at least one walk per game. Even when considering his performance against the specific opponent, the Chicago White Sox, his average walks allowed is 1, again supporting the bet. The high implied probability of 90.1% also suggests this outcome is likely. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, show he's been consistently hit by batters, which increases the chances of walks. Therefore, based on Canning's recent pitching performance, this bet is statistically justified.

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