New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks, October 28, 2026

Nikola Jokic has been playing well, but he faces a tricky matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans. They are known for their strong defense, which might make it tough for him to rack up points and assists. Plus, the Nuggets tend to allow a lot of three-point attempts, which can lead to more defensive rebounds for the Pelicans, limiting Jokic's opportunities. Betting the under on Jokic's points and assists at 35.5 seems like a smart choice. The Pelicans might keep him from having a big game, especially since both teams are pretty close in how they defend. The biggest concern is that Jokic can sometimes surprise us with his skills, but with the way the Pelicans are playing, this bet feels solid.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Under 48.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (+115)

Nikola Jokic has been a star for the Denver Nuggets, but he might have a tough time against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are known for their solid defense, which could limit his scoring and assist chances. Jokic has been averaging under 48.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists lately, and the Pelicans' pressure can make it even harder for him to rack up big numbers. While Jokic is a great player, the Nuggets often struggle with turnovers, and the Pelicans could capitalize on that. Plus, Denver allows a good number of rebounds, which might spread the stats around rather than letting Jokic dominate. He'll have a challenge against a well-rested and motivated team, so betting the under on his combined total feels like a smart move.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Under 21.5 Rebs + Asts (+120)

Nikola Jokic has been on fire lately, but the matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans might not be as favorable for him. The Pelicans are tough on the boards, and Denver has a history of allowing a fair number of rebounds. Jokic's ability to rack up both rebounds and assists is impressive, but it's important to note that the Pelicans can challenge him more than usual. With the bet set at under 21.5 combined rebounds and assists, it feels like a strong play. Jokic might face a tougher time finding his usual rhythm against a team that plays solid defense. The risk here is that Jokic could still manage to have a standout game, but the numbers suggest he may have a little trouble hitting that mark tonight.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.