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College football predictions for Thursday, October 29: the model leans North Texas Mean Green

2 college football games on Thursday. The model's strongest pick is North Texas Mean Green -14.5, a LEAN-confidence call.

Built from our model's data by our publishing system, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Troy Trojans at James Madison Dukes

Thu Oct 29, 7:30 PM ET
Our pick: James Madison Dukes -19 (they must win by 20 or more; win by exactly 19 and your stake comes back)-110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Florida Atlantic Owls at North Texas Mean Green

Thu Oct 29, 7:30 PM ET
Top pick: North Texas Mean Green -14.5 (they must win by 15 or more)-109

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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