Patrick Corbin (TEX) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Patrick Corbin's recent performances suggest that betting over 2.5 on his pitcher strikeouts is a good choice. His last five overall games show an average of 3.4 strikeouts, exceeding the line set for this bet. Moreover, his performance away from home is even stronger, with an average of 4.2 strikeouts in the last five away games. When considering his performance against the Minnesota Twins, the average increases to 4.5 strikeouts. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages are also higher when playing away and against the Twins, indicating he tends to stay in the game longer, providing more opportunities for strikeouts. Finally, Corbin is currently on a hit streak both overall and away, further supporting the likelihood of him achieving over 2.5 strikeouts.

Byron Buxton (MIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Byron Buxton for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically sound. Buxton's recent performance data reveals a low average of stolen bases, with an overall and home average of just 0.2 in his last five games. This trend is consistent even against the Texas Rangers, where his stolen base average remains at 0.2. Furthermore, Buxton's current hit streak is low, with an overall streak of 2 and a home streak of 1. This suggests that his opportunities to steal bases are limited. Additionally, the lack of caught stealing instances in Buxton's recent games does not necessarily imply a high success rate for stolen bases, but rather points to a low number of attempts. All these factors indicate a lower likelihood of Buxton stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a reasonable choice.

Patrick Corbin (TEX) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Patrick Corbin's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding 0.5 walks in the upcoming game. His average walks allowed over the last five games is 1.4, and when playing away, this average increases to 1.6. This trend is even more pronounced against the Minnesota Twins, with an average of 2.5 walks. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages, both overall and away, suggest he will be on the mound for a sufficient duration to allow a walk. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further demonstrate a pattern of allowing hits. Given these statistics, the probability of Corbin allowing more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game is high, making this a solid bet.

Patrick Corbin (TEX) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Patrick Corbin's recent performance data suggests a strong likelihood of him allowing more than 3.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Minnesota Twins. Over his last five games overall, he has allowed an average of 6.2 hits, which is significantly higher than the betting line. Even when focusing on his last five away games, this average increases to 7.4 hits. Furthermore, when specifically facing the Twins, his hit allowance has averaged at 8 per game. Additionally, Corbin is currently on a hit streak, having allowed hits in his last five games overall and his last 23 away games. These statistics indicate a consistent pattern of Corbin allowing a high number of hits, making the 'Over 3.5' bet a solid choice based on his recent performances.

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