On Thursday 22 October 2026, Liverpool play Brighton and Hove Albion in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Liverpool +0 Goal Handicap, priced at -175 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to host Brighton, recent form suggests that backing the Reds to secure a comfortable win is a savvy play. Although their recent home record shows a blemished 0-4-1 in the last five matches, they’ve been creating substantial chances, averaging 14 shots per game, which indicates a potent attack ready to find its rhythm. Brighton, while spirited, has struggled defensively lately, often allowing more than they should. Liverpool may only be averaging 1 goal scored at home, but with an expected goals (xG) tally that belies their scoring woes, you can sense a breakout performance on the horizon. With Liverpool's ability to dominate possession and create opportunities against a Brighton side that often concedes, a bet on 'Liverpool 0' seems promising; they just need to convert that attacking intent into goals. Expect the Anfield crowd to inspire a return to form.
Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-263)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool gears up to host Brighton, expect a flurry of corner kicks that could easily push us over that 8.5 mark. Liverpool's attacking style, showcased by their average of 14 shots per game in recent outings, suggests they’ll be pressuring Brighton from the get-go. Despite their recent home challenges—averaging just 0.8 goals—they’re still creating chances, amassing around two corners per match at Anfield alone. Brighton, known for their resilience and counter-attacking prowess, will likely respond with their own attacking flair. With both teams aware of the stakes, you can count on them to push forward, yielding a number of set-piece opportunities. Given Liverpool's home corner trends and Brighton's ability to soak up pressure and break quickly, a match with corners flying in is on the cards. This matchup screams for a bet on the over; I’d be surprised if we don’t see at least nine corners.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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