Las Vegas Aces vs Toronto Tempo Prediction & Picks (Chelsea Gray Key Factor): Analytics Breakdown

The odds for Toronto Tempo to lose by 20.5 points offer a lot of value since our numbers see them as strong underdogs. The Aces have struggled, losing by an average of about 5.7 points in their last 12 games. Meanwhile, the Tempo have only won 1 of their last 10 and are also coming off a rough stretch, falling behind by an average of 9.7 points in their recent games. The biggest risk here is that both teams are close in certain areas, making it possible for the Aces to push the score a bit higher than expected. It was priced at -303 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chelsea Gray Under 15.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Toronto Tempo struggle to score, having won only 1 of their last 10 games and trailing by almost 10 points in their recent matchups. Chelsea Gray of the Las Vegas Aces is a solid player, but the Tempo's defense can force turnovers, making it tricky for her to rack up combined points and rebounds. The Aces have allowed teams to shoot a lot from three-point range, which could draw Gray away from the basket, limiting her rebounding chances. With the Aces also surrendering a decent number of boards, there's a chance Gray might not hit the mark of 15.5 combined points and rebounds. Just keep in mind that this game could be closer than expected, making it tough for any player to shine. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Under 28.5 Points and Assists (-109)

For A'ja Wilson to score under 28.5 points and assists tonight, she needs to have a quieter game than usual. The Toronto Tempo have struggled lately, winning just one of their last ten games and often falling behind by almost ten points in recent outings. This could mean fewer minutes for Wilson if the game gets out of hand. The Las Vegas Aces also give up a fair number of rebounds, which can limit scoring opportunities. Since they let opponents take a lot of three-point shots, it's possible that the Tempo might not score as much, leading to fewer chances for assists. While Wilson is a great player, the matchup suggests there's a good chance she might not hit that mark tonight. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackie Young Under 25.5 Points and Rebounds (-112)

Jackie Young needs to score and grab a few rebounds, but tonight's game against the Toronto Tempo might make that tricky. The Aces have a solid defense, allowing opponents to take a lot of three-point shots, and they tend to give up rebounds, but the Tempo struggle with scoring and have had a tough time lately, winning only one of their last ten games. Jackie has been averaging lower than usual in recent games, and the Tempo's defense has forced turnovers, which could limit her chances to shine. With the Aces being strong at home, there's a good chance Jackie might not hit that 25.5 mark for points and rebounds tonight. Just keep in mind, it's never a sure thing. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Toronto Tempo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.