On Monday 12 October 2026, Juventus play Lazio in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Lazio +0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at +100 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Juventus prepares to host Lazio, recent form heavily favors the visitors, who are riding a four-match unbeaten streak away from home. Juventus, on the other hand, has shown vulnerability at Allianz Stadium, only managing two wins in their last five matches there. This inconsistency is underscored by their average of just 1.2 goals scored at home, while Lazio has been more prolific, netting an average of 1.4 goals in their last five away games. Both teams have struggled with converting chances, but Lazio's away resilience could be the differentiator here. With an impressive xG of 0.0 against, Lazio’s defense has been astute, limiting opponents to a mere 0.8 goals per match in that span. Given these dynamics, backing Lazio with a 0.75 handicap presents a compelling opportunity to capitalize on Juventus's recent struggles and Lazio's upward trajectory.
Juventus vs Lazio: Lazio Draw No Bet (+290)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Juventus hosts Lazio on Sunday, the stats paint a compelling picture for backing the away side in the Draw No Bet market. Lazio has been in sparkling form, boasting a remarkable 4-1-0 record in their last five, while Juventus has only managed a modest 2-2-1 at home. The home side’s attack seems to be sputtering, averaging just 1.2 goals per match at home, while Lazio has an impressive away scoring average of 1.4. Juventus has struggled against Lazio historically, with a 1-2-2 record in their last five encounters. With Lazio’s compact defense allowing only 0.8 goals per game on the road and their potent attack finding the net consistently, this clash could see Lazio walk away with at least a point—making the Draw No Bet on Lazio an enticing option.
That is how our model reads Juventus v Lazio. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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