Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks (Kelsey Mitchell Key Factor): Don't Miss These Odds

The Indiana Fever struggle to keep opponents from scoring, letting teams shoot a lot of threes. The Connecticut Sun have only won 3 of their last 10 games, but they allow fewer rebounds than most teams, which helps them control the game. Our numbers think the Sun are a strong favorite, and they may win by a decent margin. However, the Fever can be tricky at home, so that's something to watch out for. Overall, betting on the Sun to cover the point spread seems like a solid choice. It was priced at -270 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kelsey Mitchell Under 28.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Kelsey Mitchell has been struggling lately, and her scoring and playmaking numbers show it. She's only averaging around 28 points and assists combined, which is why betting on her to score under 28.5 makes sense. The Connecticut Sun have allowed fewer rebounds than average this season, which might limit her chances to add to her total. The real risk here is that Mitchell could turn it around at any moment since she has the talent to score in bunches. However, with the Sun's strong defense and their history of letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, it seems like a good time to take the under on her points and assists. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Caitlin Clark Under 32.5 Points and Assists (-114)

Caitlin Clark has been impressive, but the game against the Connecticut Sun could be tricky for her. The Sun have struggled recently, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, and they often give up a decent number of rebounds. However, they tend to let opponents shoot a lot of threes, which could limit Clark's chances to rack up points and assists. While Clark can shine on the court, the matchup with Connecticut might not be in her favor. The Sun's strong defense and recent trends suggest she may fall short of the 32.5 points and assists mark. The biggest risk here is how competitive the game will be, as both teams are close in skill level. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sophie Cunningham Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-114)

Sophie Cunningham has had a tough time finding her rhythm lately, which makes this pick interesting. The Connecticut Sun have won only three of their last ten games, and they struggle with giving up three-pointers. Since 2019, they've allowed teams to shoot an average of 21.7 three-point attempts per game, which is slightly better than the league average. Cunningham's recent form suggests she might not hit her usual marks today. She's been averaging fewer three-pointers lately, and that makes the bet on her making under 1.5 in this game against Indiana Fever a solid choice. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Indiana Fever v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.