Shane Baz (TBR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Shane Baz's performance data indicates a strong likelihood of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts. His overall average strikeouts in the last five games is 7.4, well above the line set for this bet. Even when considering his away game performance, his average remains high at 4.4 strikeouts, still surpassing the 2.5 line. His performance against the Astros also supports this bet, with an average of 5.5 strikeouts in the last five matchups. Additionally, Baz is currently on a hit streak, with 12 overall and 4 in away games, indicating a consistent high-level performance. His innings pitched and outs averages further suggest he's likely to get enough opportunities to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. This data-driven analysis, therefore, points to the Over 2.5 strikeouts bet as a sound choice.

Jose Altuve (HOU) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Altuve for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is backed by clear statistical data. Altuve's recent performance shows a lack of stolen bases, with an average of 0 in his last five overall games, last five home games, and last five games against the Tampa Bay Rays. Furthermore, there's no record of him being caught stealing in these games, suggesting a lack of attempts. His current hit streak, while impressive, doesn't necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, the data indicates that Altuve is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Shane Baz (TBR) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Shane Baz for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is statistically sound. Baz's recent performance data shows a consistent trend of allowing walks. His overall average walks allowed over the last five games is 1.8, while his away games average is even higher at 2. This trend is consistent even against the Astros, with an average of 1.5 walks allowed. Moreover, Baz's average innings pitched (IP) and outs are lower in away games, suggesting he struggles more on the road. These factors, coupled with his current away hit streak of 8, demonstrate a pattern of Baz giving up walks, particularly in away games. Therefore, it's statistically likely he will allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Astros.

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