On Sunday 4 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line (-114)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries have been on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've also faced some tough teams, which makes their success even more impressive. Playing at home gives them a little boost, and they're looking to keep that momentum going against the Las Vegas Aces, who are also on a winning streak. The Aces have been scoring a ton lately, averaging over 91 points a game this season. However, the Valkyries have shown they can compete well against strong opponents. Since both teams are closely matched, the game could be a nail-biter. The biggest risk is that the Aces are tough to beat, but I think the Valkyries can cover the spread of +1.5. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries to Win (+100)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries have been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've faced some tough teams along the way, which makes their success even more impressive. They've also won 4 of their last 6, showing they can keep up the momentum. This matchup feels really close since both teams are playing well, but the Valkyries have home advantage. The Las Vegas Aces are no slouches either, winning 8 of their last 10 and scoring a ton of points. However, they've been on the road for this game, which can make a difference in performance. Since it's such a tight matchup, the Valkyries have a real shot at winning, especially with the crowd behind them. Just remember, the Aces are strong, so it won't be easy. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Over 25.5 Points (+110)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
A'ja Wilson is a big name in this matchup, and she's been scoring like crazy lately. The Las Vegas Aces are putting up a staggering 91.5 points a game this season, and Wilson plays a huge role in that. With Golden State's recent strong form, it's likely they'll keep the pressure on, which could lead to more scoring chances for Wilson. However, the closest games often mean tighter defenses, so that's a concrete risk to consider. Still, given Wilson's talent and the way both teams are playing, betting on her to score over 25.5 points seems like a solid choice. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Stephanie Talbot Over 4.5 Rebounds and Assists (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Stephanie Talbot has been showing some solid play lately, especially at home, where she's been more active. She averages 1 assist and 1 rebound in home games, and that can help push her total over 4.5 when you combine those numbers. The Golden State Valkyries have been playing well, winning 4 of their last 6, but they've faced some tough teams this season, which makes this matchup interesting. The Las Vegas Aces are also strong, scoring a lot of points and winning 8 of their last 10 games. This means there could be plenty of opportunities for Talbot to rack up those rebounds and assists. The most concrete risk is how close the two teams are right now, so it's not a guaranteed win, but Talbot has a chance to shine tonight. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been on a roll lately, but the matchup against the Las Vegas Aces might be tougher than it seems. The Aces are scoring a whopping 91.5 points a game this season, making it hard for any player to shine. Plus, both teams have been winning a lot lately, so the pressure is on. The Golden State Valkyries have faced some tough opponents recently, and Gabby could struggle to find her rhythm against this high-scoring team. While our numbers give this pick a good chance, keep in mind that Gabby might not get the opportunities she needs to score over 18.5 points. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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