On Sunday 4 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

The Golden State Valkyries have been on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've also faced some tough teams, which makes their success even more impressive. Playing at home gives them a little boost, and they're looking to keep that momentum going against the Las Vegas Aces, who are also on a winning streak. The Aces have been scoring a ton lately, averaging over 91 points a game this season. However, the Valkyries have shown they can compete well against strong opponents. Since both teams are closely matched, the game could be a nail-biter. The biggest risk is that the Aces are tough to beat, but I think the Valkyries can cover the spread of +1.5. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Golden State Valkyries to Win (+100)

Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing

The Golden State Valkyries have been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've faced some tough teams along the way, which makes their success even more impressive. They've also won 4 of their last 6, showing they can keep up the momentum. This matchup feels really close since both teams are playing well, but the Valkyries have home advantage. The Las Vegas Aces are no slouches either, winning 8 of their last 10 and scoring a ton of points. However, they've been on the road for this game, which can make a difference in performance. Since it's such a tight matchup, the Valkyries have a real shot at winning, especially with the crowd behind them. Just remember, the Aces are strong, so it won't be easy. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Over 25.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

A'ja Wilson is a big name in this matchup, and she's been scoring like crazy lately. The Las Vegas Aces are putting up a staggering 91.5 points a game this season, and Wilson plays a huge role in that. With Golden State's recent strong form, it's likely they'll keep the pressure on, which could lead to more scoring chances for Wilson. However, the closest games often mean tighter defenses, so that's a concrete risk to consider. Still, given Wilson's talent and the way both teams are playing, betting on her to score over 25.5 points seems like a solid choice. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kiah Stokes Over 3.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kiah Stokes has been on a scoring roll lately, and with the Golden State Valkyries playing at home, this could be a great spot for her to shine. The Valkyries have been scoring well, winning 8 of their last 10 games, and they need strong performances against a tough Las Vegas Aces team that also has a solid record. Stokes has been getting to the free-throw line more often than usual, which boosts her chances of racking up points. However, the Aces are a strong defensive team, so that could make it tricky for her. Still, it looks like a good opportunity to bet on her scoring over 3.5 points. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cecilia Zandalasini Under 1.5 Assists (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Cecilia Zandalasini needs to have fewer than 2 assists tonight for this bet to win. She has been playing well, but with the Golden State Valkyries facing the Las Vegas Aces, the chances of her reaching that number seem slim. The Aces are scoring a lot, averaging over 91 points a game, which means they might not rely on her for playmaking as much. Also, Zandalasini has been averaging low in assists recently, and the pressure from the Aces' strong defense could make it tough for her to find open teammates. The most concrete risk is that both teams are in good form, winning 8 of their last 10 games, so it could be a fast-paced match where assists flow. Still, our numbers suggest this bet has a good chance. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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