On Monday 28 September 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Dallas Wings in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +6.5 on the Line, priced at +108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Dallas Wings +6.5 on the Line (+108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings are facing a tough match against the Golden State Valkyries, but they've been on a roll too, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Wings are scoring well, averaging 89.1 points a game, which keeps them competitive. Although Golden State has a solid record and has been winning lately, the expected final difference is only about 2 points, so taking Dallas with a 6.5-point advantage looks good. The biggest risk is that the Valkyries have strong home support and just might pull away in the end. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 154 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries and Dallas Wings both have strong offenses, with the Wings scoring an impressive average of 89.1 points a game and the Valkyries not far behind at 82.3 points. Both teams have won five of their last six games, showing they're in great form. With the combined total expected to hit around 156.5 points, betting on over 154 seems reasonable. However, the close matchup means either side could swing the game, so expect some back-and-forth action. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Jessica Shepard has been a key player for the Golden State Valkyries, and she's been racking up assists lately. With the Valkyries scoring an impressive 82.3 points per game, there are plenty of chances for her to set up her teammates. Plus, both teams have been on a hot streak, winning 5 of their last 6 games. This matchup could be exciting, and the scoring should be high. However, the Dallas Wings are also playing well, averaging 89.1 points per game, which means Shepard will need to be sharp. The bet is for her to get over 4.5 assists, and while the odds are decent, it's a close call. If the game turns into a shootout, Shepard may find herself distributing the ball more often. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Under 18.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Gabby Williams needs to score and assist less than 19 points combined tonight for this bet to hit. The Golden State Valkyries have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and averaging 82.3 points. However, the Dallas Wings are a tough opponent, scoring even more at 89.1 points per game, meaning they could keep the game tight and competitive. Gabby has been playing well, but the matchup is close, and there's a good chance she might be focused on defense instead of scoring. Plus, the Valkyries' recent performance shows they can lock down on key players. Remember, this bet isn't a sure thing, as both teams are in good form and can surprise. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Arike Ogunbowale Over 20.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Arike Ogunbowale is set at over 20.5 points, rebounds, and assists, and the odds are pretty fair. She's been on fire lately, contributing a lot to her team's scoring. The Golden State Valkyries have been solid, winning 7 out of their last 10 games and scoring around 82 points each game. However, the Dallas Wings also have a strong offense, averaging 89 points per game. The close matchup makes it tough to predict, and Ogunbowale's performance could swing either way, especially with both teams playing well lately. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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