On Sunday 27 September 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +4.5 on the Line, priced at -122 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Indiana Fever +4.5 on the Line (-122)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever are scoring an impressive 96.7 points a game and have won 7 of their last 10. They also have a solid recent record, winning 4 of their last 6. The Las Vegas Aces are strong too, winning 8 of their last 10 and 6 in a row, but the teams are pretty close overall. With our numbers treating this matchup like a coin flip, taking the Fever with a +4.5 spread feels like a good option. Just keep in mind, the Aces have home court advantage, which could play a role. It was priced at -122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Las Vegas Aces to Win (-154)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces need to keep their winning streak going against the Indiana Fever tonight. The Aces have been on fire, winning their last six games and putting up a solid average of 91.1 points per game this season. They've also won eight of their last ten, showing they know how to keep the momentum going. The Fever are strong as well, winning seven of their last ten and scoring 96.7 points per game, so it won't be an easy matchup. However, the Aces are at home, and they have the advantage of better recent form. One concrete risk is that the teams are quite close in overall wins this season, but the Aces seem likely to come out on top tonight. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 191.5 Total Points (-270)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are on a fantastic run, winning six straight games and scoring an impressive average of 91.1 points. However, the Indiana Fever are also doing well, with a solid average of 96.7 points over their last few games. Despite both teams' scoring abilities, our numbers suggest a combined total of about 167 points, which is quite a bit lower than the line. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are in terms of recent wins. Still, going with the Under 191.5 seems like a smart choice given the trend. It was priced at -270 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Under 27.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
A'ja Wilson has been a big part of the Las Vegas Aces' success, scoring a lot as they've won 8 of their last 10 games. She's been on fire lately, but she may face a tough challenge against the Indiana Fever, who have also been scoring well. The Fever have won 7 of their last 10, so it could be a close one. Right now, we think A'ja Wilson will score under 27.5 points in this game. The numbers show she may struggle to reach that mark, especially with the Fever's strong defense. While she can definitely light it up, the match-up suggests it could be a lower-scoring night for her. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jackie Young Under 4.5 Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Jackie Young has been on fire lately, helping the Las Vegas Aces win 6 games in a row. The Aces are scoring a ton, averaging over 91 points a game, but they have a solid defense that limits rebounds. With their recent form, the Aces look strong as they face the Indiana Fever, who are also playing well but are not as dominant on the boards. Betting on Jackie Young to grab under 4.5 rebounds makes sense here. The Aces tend to control the game, which means fewer opportunities for her to rack up rebounds. The risk is that the Fever have been scoring well too, and that could create more chances for Jackie. Still, our numbers see this bet as a strong favorite. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jewell Loyd Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jewell Loyd has been playing well lately, but the Aces have a strong defense that can limit her chances. The Las Vegas Aces have won eight of their last ten games and are known for their solid team play. They have been especially good at controlling the pace, which can make it harder for Loyd to get open looks for three-pointers. Betting on Jewell Loyd to make under 1.5 three-pointers seems smart here. While she can score, the Aces have been limiting opponents' shooting from beyond the arc. The biggest risk is that Loyd could get hot early, but with the Aces in such good form, they may keep her in check. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article