On Monday 28 September 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Dallas Wings in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +7.5 on the Line, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Dallas Wings +7.5 on the Line (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries are both on a strong run, winning five of their last six games. The Wings are scoring a solid 89.1 points per game, which gives them a good chance to keep things competitive. Betting on the Wings to cover the spread of 7.5 points seems smart here. The teams are closely matched, and our numbers suggest it's almost a toss-up, with the expected final margin being just under five points. One risk is that the Wings have to travel a bit more for this game, but they've been playing well, so they can definitely keep it close. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 154 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries and Dallas Wings both have strong offenses, with the Wings scoring an impressive average of 89.1 points a game and the Valkyries not far behind at 82.3 points. Both teams have won five of their last six games, showing they're in great form. With the combined total expected to hit around 156.5 points, betting on over 154 seems reasonable. However, the close matchup means either side could swing the game, so expect some back-and-forth action. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Jessica Shepard has been scoring well lately, making her a solid pick to score over 12.5 points against the Dallas Wings. The Golden State Valkyries have been on fire, winning 5 of their last 6 games and putting up an impressive 82.3 points per game this season. On the other hand, the Wings have also been strong, with 89.1 points per game. This matchup is close, so while Shepard has a good chance to hit her mark, the tight competition means she could be shut down. Keep an eye on how the game flows! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Gabby Williams needs to score under 15.5 points for this bet to win tonight. The Golden State Valkyries are known for their strong defense, and they've been really good lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Gabby is a solid player, but with the Valkyries allowing just 82.3 points per game this season, it's likely she might not hit that mark. The Dallas Wings have also been performing well, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but they score a bit more than the Valkyries. This could mean a tighter game where every point counts. A big risk is that both teams are in good form, so Gabby could easily surprise us. Still, with the Valkyries' solid defense, keeping her points low seems quite possible. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Arike Ogunbowale Over 20.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Arike Ogunbowale is set at over 20.5 points, rebounds, and assists, and the odds are pretty fair. She's been on fire lately, contributing a lot to her team's scoring. The Golden State Valkyries have been solid, winning 7 out of their last 10 games and scoring around 82 points each game. However, the Dallas Wings also have a strong offense, averaging 89 points per game. The close matchup makes it tough to predict, and Ogunbowale's performance could swing either way, especially with both teams playing well lately. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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